The contrast between the way sport win loss percentages are dealt with, where 10% chances happen 1/10 times so that you get used to it and the way that people t

The contrast between the way sport win loss percentages are dealt with, where 10% chances happen 1/10 times so that you get used to it and the way that people take politics predictions is dramatic. No doubt politics is harder, but people need to get calmer about these things. Prediction with 70% confidence and the other side winning is not wrong.