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For those missing the context, this model was a reductio ad absurdum response to https://twitter.com/MartinDaubney/status/1314590150245183488 https://twitter.co

by sxp 6y ago

For those missing the context, this model was a reductio ad absurdum response to https://twitter.com/MartinDaubney/status/1314590150245183488 https://twitter.com/MartinDaubney/status/1314590150245183488 You can overfit any small dataset using a relatively simple error reduction method.

nkozyra 6y ago
Exactly. The troubling part is that even with overfitting his model still missed two elections.
- jawr 6y ago
  That’s probably intentional, no one gets 100% on the exam.
  - NoOneNew 6y ago
    So... the bug is a feature?
rmrfstar 6y ago
My model is a hashmap that contains my training data. Missing keys are forecast uniformly randomly. It perfectly matches 100% of my training data.