3 ms·
"Great Barrington Declaration" https://gbdeclaration.org/ https://gbdeclaration.org/ "As immunity builds in the population, the risk of infection to all – incl
by mcguire 6y ago
"Great Barrington Declaration" https://gbdeclaration.org/ https://gbdeclaration.org/
"As immunity builds in the population, the risk of infection to all – including the vulnerable – falls. We know that all populations will eventually reach herd immunity – i.e. the point at which the rate of new infections is stable – and that this can be assisted by (but is not dependent upon) a vaccine. Our goal should therefore be to minimize mortality and social harm until we reach herd immunity."
Have we established that herd immunity is possible?
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41577-020-00451-5 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41577-020-00451-5
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02400-7 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02400-7
I cannot currently find the link on the (at least) one confirmed case of re-infection.
"Adopting measures to protect the vulnerable should be the central aim of public health responses to COVID-19. By way of example, nursing homes should use staff with acquired immunity and perform frequent PCR testing of other staff and all visitors. Staff rotation should be minimized. Retired people living at home should have groceries and other essentials delivered to their home.* When possible, they should meet family members outside rather than inside. A comprehensive and detailed list of measures, including approaches to multi-generational households, can be implemented, and is well within the scope and capability of public health professionals.*"
I would like to see this "comprehensive and detailed list of measures" before I make up my mind, but the suggestion for retired people does not sound exceptionally feasible. (There are over 50,000,000 people over the age of 65.)
- lprd 6y agoThere was an interesting study on the herd immunity threshold, as well as pre-existing immunity posted here about a month ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24504716 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24504716 https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563 https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563