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> Our data on almost 200,000 kids in 47 states from the last two weeks of September revealed an infection rate of 0.13 percent among students and 0.24 percent a
by castillar76 6y ago
> Our data on almost 200,000 kids in 47 states from the last two weeks of September revealed an infection rate of 0.13 percent among students and 0.24 percent among staff. That’s about 1.3 infections over two weeks in a school of 1,000 kids, or 2.2 infections over two weeks in a group of 1,000 staff.
If they genuinely aren’t acting as Petri dishes then yay. But I don’t understand how looking at a two-week window for a disease with a known incubation as long as two weeks can paint an effective picture. Surely you would need to look at least twice the incubation period to be able to render a realistic interpretation of the data?
- rimliu 6y agoTwo weeks incubation is an extreme outlier. It is 4-5 days for most.
- rbecker 6y agoAnd that two-week window is from very near the start of schools opening.
- judge2020 6y agoThis is also data on kids that actually got tested - kids often won't test since they have no reason to believe they have the virus when they're just asymptomatic.
- irq11 6y agoMany schools are doing mandatory testing programs. That’s largely why we’re seeing school-linked “surges” in the first place.
- rurban 6y agoThe known incubation period is 2 days, known infection period is 7-10 days. 2 two week windows are good enough.