You would need more evidence to determine that. 2016 + 2020 isn't enough -- you'd need to actually show that this is happening, rather than using 2 results to b

You would need more evidence to determine that. 2016 + 2020 isn't enough -- you'd need to actually show that this is happening, rather than using 2 results to back into your belief. To clarify, my intention was to state, "outcomes with 6% of odds happening will occur very frequently" - not relatively. A good hitter in baseball hits homers about 6% of the time. If they hit homers in 2 at bats, we would not have enough information to say much about their true talent.