I had given a very similar answer here: https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/41208/the-sleeping-beauty-paradox/410602#410602 https://stats.stackexchange.co

I had given a very similar answer here: https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/41208/the-sleeping-beauty-paradox/410602#410602 https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/41208/the-sleeping... in an attempt to draw a parallel to the Sleeping Beauty paradox.