4 ms·
A single person's progression with covid tells us absolutely nothing about the efficacy of the drugs he took.
by gameswithgo 6y ago
A single person's progression with covid tells us absolutely nothing about the efficacy of the drugs he took.
- war1025 6y agoWell, it might not, but the article is about Eli Lilly saying their studies say the drug is effective, and the anecdotal evidence that Trump took it and recovered very quickly seems to add credence to that claim. People love to hate on anecdotes, but they have their place.
- crumpled 6y agoBut, he didn't take it. so there's not even an anecdote here.
- atlasunshrugged 6y agoDidn't he specifically take the version from Regeneron, not Eli Lilly?
- musicale 6y agoA single data point, even a somewhat uncertain one, is still a data point.
- sgift 6y agoOkay, here is the data point: If you get treated by some of the best doctors your country has to offer in an absolute state of the art facility in record time (i.e. almost no delay between outbreak of covid and detection) the given drug cocktail was effective (if we assume they don't lie about Trumps health. In the footage on his return to the white house he didn't look healthy at all). I'd argue that this certainly is a data point. Just not a very useful one.
- gameswithgo 6y agoThis is a tautology, and in no way addresses the point that absolutely nothing is learned about the efficacy of one of the drugs he took, by looking at a single data point.
- timmytokyo 6y agoHe wasn't part of a controlled scientific study, so it wasn't really a useful data point from a scientific standpoint.
- refurb 6y agoUnfortunately, it really isn't. It's not common, but some people do get normally fatal cancers and recovery without treatment. If you happen to test a new cancer drug on a case like that, you'd walk away thinking you had something when the drug really did nothing. For something like Covid where the impact can range from nothing to death, a single case doesn't really tell you much about a treatment.
- BurningFrog 6y agoIf he dies right when taking the drug, I think it says something.
- hashtagmarkup 6y agoA single person's progression who was in every single category of death susceptible patients tells us more than the recovery of an otherwise healthy person's progression.
- YetAnotherNick 6y agoThe average death rate at his age is 4%. And I think he has got average amount of problems and obesity at his age in US, at least no very big disease and not in the higher end of obesity.
- hashtagmarkup 6y agoFake News