The frame that helped me understand things was to start looking at America as a country engaged in a cold civil war since 2015 or so, starting from a state of t

The frame that helped me understand things was to start looking at America as a country engaged in a cold civil war since 2015 or so, starting from a state of total information warfare, where the Democrats had a distinct materiel advantage. Democrats have been marshaling their forces since then, and are trying for a repeat of the 2016 strategy, only they are all-hands-on-deck this time. Republicans have spent the past four years trying to come to grips with establishing operations in a hostile territory (Washington D.C.). The state of the Democrats feels pretty clear to me, but it's super hard to get a read on where the Republicans are right now. Fog of war is thick, and we won't really know where things are going until November.