It’s not regardless of what came before. That’s like saying, if there were two doors and Monty simply tells you which one the car is behind, there’s still a 50/

It’s not regardless of what came before. That’s like saying, if there were two doors and Monty simply tells you which one the car is behind, there’s still a 50/50 chance of each door being right. No, there’s a 100% chance the one he told you is right. You learn real new information when Monty opens a door just like when he tells you something.