4 ms·

I think it's possible that people are experiencing "boy who cried wolf" syndrome. I don't want to downplay the severity of people's experiences with the virus,

I think it's possible that people are experiencing "boy who cried wolf" syndrome. I don't want to downplay the severity of people's experiences with the virus, but I think it's important to acknowledge how the severity/effects of the virus were drastically overstated in March/April, to help understand the effects that it's having with compliance now. I liken it to the Dare effect. https://priceonomics.com/dare-the-anti-drug-program-that-never-actually/ https://priceonomics.com/dare-the-anti-drug-program-that-nev... Where the risks of Marijuana are exaggerated to kids, and when the kids find out that the DARE program misled (cried wolf to) them, they tend disregard EVERYTHING they heard from DARE and underestimate risks associated with drugs in the future.

spease 6y ago
I don’t think we accurately understand the long-term risks yet - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cmi.2020.09.052 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cmi.2020.09.052 - https://www.tctmd.com/news/signs-cardiac-damage-even-younger-nonhospitalized-covid-19-patients https://www.tctmd.com/news/signs-cardiac-damage-even-younger... - https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/2770645 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/...
twox2 6y ago
In what way was the severity overstated? People are getting sick for weeks/months at a time and a good amount of people are dying.
vanusa 6y ago
How the severity/effects of the virus were drastically overstated in March/April, Of course this just isn't true. True, some aspects (such as risk of surface transmission) were overestimated; but other aspects (airborn transmission risk) were also underestimated at the time. At the same time, countermeasures have definitely improved. And in some areas, the virus has partially attained is saturation limit (and so its spread has slowed somewhat). But roughly stated, the overall assessment of risk/severity back in early Spring remains spot-on (perhaps even understated - given what we know know about the phenomenon of "long-haulers").

spease 6y ago

I don’t think we accurately understand the long-term risks yet - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cmi.2020.09.052 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cmi.2020.09.052 - https://www.tctmd.com/news/signs-cardiac-damage-even-younger-nonhospitalized-covid-19-patients https://www.tctmd.com/news/signs-cardiac-damage-even-younger... - https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/2770645 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/...

twox2 6y ago

In what way was the severity overstated? People are getting sick for weeks/months at a time and a good amount of people are dying.

vanusa 6y ago

How the severity/effects of the virus were drastically overstated in March/April, Of course this just isn't true. True, some aspects (such as risk of surface transmission) were overestimated; but other aspects (airborn transmission risk) were also underestimated at the time. At the same time, countermeasures have definitely improved. And in some areas, the virus has partially attained is saturation limit (and so its spread has slowed somewhat). But roughly stated, the overall assessment of risk/severity back in early Spring remains spot-on (perhaps even understated - given what we know know about the phenomenon of "long-haulers").