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> the balls are not being dropped in the center They are being dropped from the center of the probability distribution, not the center of the electoral vote th
by tantalor 6y ago
> the balls are not being dropped in the center
They are being dropped from the center of the probability distribution, not the center of the electoral vote threshold (which would be nonsense).
> skewing of the entry point
Skewing from what?
> bias in prior distribution
That's the point!
> color of the end slots should change based on probabilities
The height of the bar changes based on the probabilities.
- jvanderbot 6y agoRight. I think a more layperson interpret-able visualization would be to have what appears to be a "fair" (centered) sampling, and show the results based on the likelihood of landing in Trump/Biden. A biased sampling with uniform slots at the bottom shows the same thing, yes.