3 ms·
I thi to it would work better if it actually showed one ball drop at a time, instead of just quickly generating the same bar/scatter graphs that the original si
by gowld 6y ago
I thi to it would work better if it actually showed one ball drop at a time, instead of just quickly generating the same bar/scatter graphs that the original sites show.
The single ball drop, with slower motion, gives you a chance to feel the uncertainty.
- darkerside 6y agoThere's an option to do that a little lower down
- Wowfunhappy 6y agoThis, but I wish it defaulted to that instead of starting with all the balls at once.
- gojomo 6y agoIndeed! The multiple balls may be thought of like ballots/points, leading to the wrong intuition that “more balls one side, that side wins”. But that’s exactly the misinterpretation of probabilities/multiple-trials such demos are trying to fight. Perhaps, whenever many balls shown at once, all but one should be faint/outlined or even X’d out?
- madcaptenor 6y ago270 To Win has a simulation that fills in the electoral map one state at a time: https://www.270towin.com/2020-simulation/ https://www.270towin.com/2020-simulation/ They even have a mode that fills in the states in roughly the order of poll closing times, which helps to get your head around how election night is likely to go. (Except it'll probably be election week and poll closing times will matter less than how fast various states count mail-in votes.)