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I'm not convinced you actually read through either of those sources, especially considering that none of your quotes actually ever appear in them. First, and f
by bhupy 6y ago
I'm not convinced you actually read through either of those sources, especially considering that none of your quotes actually ever appear in them.
First, and foremost, Piketty's findings are based on theoretical models, not empirical observations. The two fatal flaws Piketty makes are 1) he models a zero-sum world where wealth is fixed, and 2) doesn't take into account taxes & transfers.
From the IMF research:
Using a sample of 19 advanced economies
spanning over 30 years, I find no empirical evidence that dynamics move in the way Piketty
suggests. Results are robust to several alternative estimates of r-g.
I find no empirical evidence that the dynamics move in the way Piketty suggests. In fact, for at
least 75% of the countries examined, inequality responds negatively to r − g shocks, which is in line
with previous single-equation estimates by Acemoglu and Robinson (2015). The results also suggest
that changes in the savings rate, which Piketty takes as relatively stable over time, are likely to offset
most of the impact of r − g shocks on the capital share of the national income. Thus, it provides
empirical evidence to the model developed by Krusell and A. Smith (2015), who say Piketty relies
on flawed theory of savings. The conclusions are robust to alternative estimates of r − g and to the
exclusion or inclusion of tax rates in the calculation of the real return on capital.
From Auten & Splinter
Our estimates also differ for the bottom half of the distribution. PSZ estimated that the
bottom 50 percent share of pre-tax and after-tax shares decreased by about 7.5 and 6.2
percentage points since 1979. In contrast, we estimate that pre-tax and after-tax income shares decreased by 5.6 and 2.2 percentage points over this period. Our estimates suggest that taxes and transfers offset most of the recent changes in both bottom and top income shares. In contrast with the PSZ estimate that average real pre-tax incomes of the bottom 50 percent remained virtually unchanged, we estimate that they increased by nearly one-third.
For pre-tax/after-transfer income (which includes Social Security benefits) and after-tax income, we estimate a real increase for the bottom half of the distribution of nearly two-thirds
- jahaja 6y ago> I'm not convinced you actually read through either of those sources, especially considering that none of your quotes actually ever appear in them. Of course I didn't? That would require me to spend several hours to go through those reports, hence I refer to other who have. Why don't you answer the replies to each report instead - of people that have actually had the time to go through them and reply?