Did not see this mentioned in any of the comments, but Metaculus [1] has been around for a while. Do you directly compete with them? Nothing wrong in competing

Did not see this mentioned in any of the comments, but Metaculus [1] has been around for a while. Do you directly compete with them? Nothing wrong in competing, I have a feeling that people are probably more _aggressive_ (in a positive sense) in their outlook when "Facebook profiles" are not on the line. Nevertheless, I think it is a great experiment. I do imagine that at some point, if this product goes mainstream, journalists would start referring to these statistics for topics which really require correcting for exposure bias. For instance, exit polls. In places where Facebook penetration (or even internet penetration) is not-so-great, this will blindside decisions. Of course, this by no means will be Facebook's fault but I am curious to see how Facebook is proactively adjusting for this adverse outcome. [1]: https://www.metaculus.com https://www.metaculus.com