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> You can use this reasoning to dismiss [...] probably 95% of all scientific results from economic/medical/social/nutricion/climate science. Most researchers a
by ema 6y ago
> You can use this reasoning to dismiss [...] probably 95% of all scientific results from economic/medical/social/nutricion/climate science.
Most researchers are incentived to churn out as many papers as possible. Most people who are making research grant decisions have little incentive to give grants to substantial science over insubstantial science that merely looks good. After all they're unlikely to face career consequences for funding science which doesn't replicate. Many of the people involved in the production of science are disincentivezed to point out problems with the process of science because science funding depends on science being highly esteemed, which only indirectly and with significant time lag depends on the effectiveness of science.
All this leads me to the conclusion that, yes, it is entirely possible that 95% of science in those fields (and maybe others) is junk.
- em500 6y ago> All this leads me to the conclusion that, yes, it is entirely possible that 95% of science in those fields (and maybe others) is junk. I'm don't think that's farfetched at all. The problem though is that people will not apply uniform 95% skepticism to all studies. They'll just embrace or dismiss them based how how aligned the results are with preconceptions.