4 ms·
More than likely but it's probably not an order of magnitude difference.
by abraxas 6y ago
More than likely but it's probably not an order of magnitude difference.
- logicchains 6y agoIf 90% of cases are unsymptomatic or have minimal symptoms we'd expect an order of magnitude underreporting of cases, assuming people were only tested when they go to the doctor/hospital.
- soperj 6y agoIf 90% of cases are unsymptomatic and not showing up in the cases, then 75 million people in the US will have already had covid, and you're also getting 400 thousand new cases a day. Sorry, but that's nonsense.
- logicchains 6y agoFor some states the population infection rates are 20-30%, so it's not an unreasonable number (https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563/rr-5 https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563/rr-5)
- soperj 6y agoIt is. All states would have to be in that range.
- amscanne 6y agoIn the early summer, the CDC published a study estimating that the confirmed cases were 6-24 times lower than the actual cases. With testing continuing to ramp up, I suspect the gap has narrowed, but some significant multiple is still likely the case here and an order of magnitude is not outside the realm of possibility.