3 ms·
It's actually considerably lower. 0-19 years: 0.00003 20-49 years: 0.0002 50-69 years: 0.005 70+ years: 0.054 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp
by scottlocklin 6y ago
It's actually considerably lower.
0-19 years: 0.00003
20-49 years: 0.0002
50-69 years: 0.005
70+ years: 0.054
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
- classichasclass 6y agoThat's a ratio. 0.054 = 5.4%, etc.
- btilly 6y agoNote that 70+ years has an IFR of 5.4%. https://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/briefs/c2010br-09.pdf https://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/briefs/c2010br-09.pdf says that in 2010 there were 308,745,538 Americans, 40,267,984 of which were over 65 and 12,435,263 in the 65-70 age bracket. That makes 70+ around 9% of the population, which means that expected deaths from people who are 70+ are an IFR for the general population of 0.49%. That's the bulk of the deaths. Add in the other age groups and, if you do the numbers correctly, you should get close to my figure. (With a small difference because you're quoting updated numbers and I'm quoting figures that are a few months old.)
- DanBC 6y agoFrom your link: > The parameters in the scenarios: > Are estimates intended to support public health preparedness and planning. > Are not predictions of the expected effects of COVID-19.