3 ms·

Portugal and Spain is interesting. Spain response is probably one of the worst in the world, with things getting so bad that the army had to clean out the dead

Portugal and Spain is interesting. Spain response is probably one of the worst in the world, with things getting so bad that the army had to clean out the dead from the living from abandoned nursing homes. I don't think you can compare the two really, since Spain's response seems so chaotic and mismanaged? I got a feeling that picking the low hanging fruit in time (i.e. concerts, clubs, packed public transport) is enough to not get a big spike at all. Otherwise most European countries should explode since social distancing is no way taken as serious anymore.

LodeOfCode 6y ago
>Otherwise most European countries should explode since social distancing is no way taken as serious anymore. A cursory look suggests most of them actually have been exploding in new cases since mid-july/early-august
pvaldes 6y ago
> Spain response is probably one of the worst in the world, I don't think so. This problem is not monolithic. Response is just one factor but not the only, structural factors are other. An example on structural factors is the population size. Biggest countries will have a higher absolute mortality (more deaths) than smaller ones for example. Just because they had a bigger pool of people vulnerable. Small ones, on the other hand, could end having a much higher relative mortality. Is unclear at this point who types of factors have more weight here, but all the hot spots in the first part of the first wave share several common denominators. All except one, and they are structural ones.