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In order for the decline in smoking to remain linear, you must convince people who are increasingly less likely to quit. Consistent .5% decline is (weak) eviden
by Stupulous 6y ago
In order for the decline in smoking to remain linear, you must convince people who are increasingly less likely to quit. Consistent .5% decline is (weak) evidence for the effectiveness of efforts to combat smoking, not the opposite.
I don't know if that impacts your larger point with regards to nicotine addiction in general, but I think it's worth noting.
- AndrewKemendo 6y agoIt's an interesting point. I would tend to agree with that in the sense that it's a log graph of "difficulty" required. However I'm not sure how that would be supported without assuming there is some base-rate that would smoke no matter what, as though smoking specifically is a natural inclination, with everyone above the base rate on some log distribution of "ability to convince to stop smoking."