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Absolutely not for normal cars, that battle is long lost. Its baffling that some companies still pursue it. Often with government funds of course. For heavy tr
by nickik 6y ago
Absolutely not for normal cars, that battle is long lost. Its baffling that some companies still pursue it. Often with government funds of course.
For heavy transportation hydrogen might have a small market for extremely long distance transport. But if you ask me, even that market is practically out of reach already. Companies like Daimler want to have a hydrogen truck 'in the second half of the decade' but by then batteries should clearly outclass it. And that is before you have even solved the infrastructure issue.
I think equally in storage, it makes little sense to use hydrogen outside of some specialized applications. There are other chemical alternatives as well but here I would still bet on the battery for a much, much, much larger part of the grid, both home and grid-scale.
The two industries where hydrogen might be interesting is long distance container ships and flight. There it still has some chance against batteries but for the majority of flight, battery is within clear distance of known technology. There is long range flights, but for those hydrogen competes with other chemical fuels as well.
I don't know enough about the shipping industry. You can do things like using dimethyl ether but you essentially need hydrogen to produce that, so I guess it sort of counts. The same goes for things like methanol.
The predictions of 'Bank of America' seem like total nonsense to me. The battery is riding a cost curve with governments and privates from all over the world putting massive resources into it. Fuel cells have some government that love it, and some companies that believe in it but its not near the same scale of investment.
Lots of nonsense has gone up if it is connected to something clean energy, its the 'next Tesla' hunt.