> "Are you sure you aren't conflating "it's obvious" with hindsight bias?" no, i avoided facebook at the start because it was obvious what it was going to be.

> "Are you sure you aren't conflating "it's obvious" with hindsight bias?" no, i avoided facebook at the start because it was obvious what it was going to be. with google, it was 2005 or so (about a year after the gmail launch) that i started weaning myself off of google. that folks wore blinders willingly doesn't mean it wasn't easy to connect the dots.