That’s how exponential growth works. The NYTs article you cite is from March 16th and was based on the US continuing to operate as it had. So changes early can

That’s how exponential growth works. The NYTs article you cite is from March 16th and was based on the US continuing to operate as it had. So changes early can have a huge effect. Of course the US still delayed at the federal level for another 2 weeks to do really anything of substance. The governments responsible for reducing the death toll from 2M To 200K are the state governments of NY and California. The US federal government largely delayed advocating a shutdown until 2 weeks later. Even on April 4th the President was still saying Covid-19 was “going away” [1]. I encourage everyone to go look at the new cases curve on the days proceeding and following April 4th to see what utter complete bullshit such a statement was. Worse, he knew it was bullshit even as he said it, as the conversations with Bob Woodward have revealed. To give the US federal government a grade of “not too bad” is disingenuous. Their discordant and adversarial response is why we have 200K deaths. 1- https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2020/09/politics/coronavirus-trump-woodward-timeline/ https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2020/09/politics/coronavirus...