4 ms·
Moore's observation.
by vezycash 6y ago
Moore's observation.
- sushshshsh 6y agoMoore's induced conclusion!
- ghaff 6y agoAbsolutely right. An observation that became something of a self-fulfilling prophecy.
- ordu 6y agoI'm not sure about "self-fulfilling" part. If Moore didn't do his observation, would doubling of number of transistor every 18 months still work?
- ghaff 6y agoI don't know for sure but Moore's Law was part of a certain expectation that was set for the industry and the market. For better or worse, this expectation tended to force various decisions that kept advances close to the predicted line.
- ncmncm 6y agoThe expectation drove capital investment. The business application of it meant profits from each generation could fund the higher costs of each succeeding generation. Now we are in the tens of $billions for a new generation, with much smaller increases in performance, and it is faltering. Will we spend hundreds of $billions on factories for smaller transistors? Or will we find a more cost-effective way to get more performance?
- ghaff 6y agoIt appears as if chipmakers will continue to drive things as small as they can, e.g. with EUV (finally). But the expectation is that a lot of continued performance gains will have to come through other means. These are some of the things that were talked about at the Hot Chips conference: https://enterprisersproject.com/article/2020/9/moores-law-what-means-today https://enterprisersproject.com/article/2020/9/moores-law-wh...