> just an argument that justifies literally any action. I'm saying having a model for what you're talking about and also having empirical research about what h

> just an argument that justifies literally any action. I'm saying having a model for what you're talking about and also having empirical research about what has happened with similar interventions on the aggregate is good. Looking at a single intervention in response to a massive calamity and saying "well that didn't work because things were bad after!" is what I'm trying to critique.