> I'm not saying every (or any) consultant forecast is worth reading, but to dismiss the idea of forecasting because we are wrong is a fundamental misunderstan

> I'm not saying every (or any) consultant forecast is worth reading, but to dismiss the idea of forecasting because we are wrong is a fundamental misunderstanding of the value of forecasts. I agree with your original statement but in the portion above you talk about reading someone else's forecast as if that was equivalent to the forecast 'thinking process' you had mentioned. Reading the end-result of another individual's analysis won't necessarily give you the benefits you just mentioned.