The article is misguided in thinking anyone cares about forecast accuracy in the first place. Accurate forecasting would usurp political authority, since it wou

The article is misguided in thinking anyone cares about forecast accuracy in the first place. Accurate forecasting would usurp political authority, since it would provide a mechanism by which you can accurately hold policy creators accountable. “It’s hard to get someone to understand something when their job depends on not understanding it.” Robin Hanson wrote very well about this years ago: https://www.cato-unbound.org/2011/07/13/robin-hanson/who-cares-about-forecast-accuracy https://www.cato-unbound.org/2011/07/13/robin-hanson/who-car...