From the abstract: > Our inferences result in herd immunity thresholds around 10-20%, considerably lower than the minimum coverage needed to interrupt transmis

From the abstract: > Our inferences result in herd immunity thresholds around 10-20%, considerably lower than the minimum coverage needed to interrupt transmission by random vaccination, which for R0 higher than 2.5 is estimated above 60%. We emphasize that the classical formula, 1-(1/R0), remains applicable to describe herd immunity thresholds for random vaccination, but not for immunity induced by infection which is naturally selective. > These findings have profound consequences for the governance of the current pandemic given that some populations may be close to achieving herd immunity despite being under more or less strict social distancing measures. There are some comments for an earlier version of the paper, discussing methodology: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160762v1?versioned=true#disqus_thread https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160762v...