4 ms·
Wouldn't this be a simple case of measuring the probability of needing to evacuate the plane quickly vs. probability of catching covid-19 and dying? Honestly,
by ragnese 6y ago
Wouldn't this be a simple case of measuring the probability of needing to evacuate the plane quickly vs. probability of catching covid-19 and dying?
Honestly, right now, for an elderly person, the covid risk is probably higher.
- wizzwizz4 6y agoConditional probability is a bit too advanced for the people making these decisions at the moment. (That's not to say that they're incapable of taking it into account; I'm sure most of them would be able to understand and use the concepts. They just don't.)
- ketamine__ 6y agoIsolating at home is a good way to stay safe if vulnerable.
- OJFord 6y ago..from both eventualities!
- thinkharderdev 6y agoTheoretically you could, but in practice I don't know that we can reliably determine either of those probabilities with any accuracy. For instance, COVID risk is highly dependent (even for elderly people) on the presence of comorbidities. Are you going to ask everyone on the flight for their medical history?
- ragnese 6y agoI understand, but surely someone with an actual stats background could do a basic calculation on number of recent plane crashes vs. some estimated probability of N people out of 100 on a plane having COVID * the overall mortality rate, etc.
- alibarber 6y agoYes but I would be frightfully annoyed if my own evacuation from a burning plane was impeded by someone’s unproven attempts at trying to lower their COVID risk.
- tedunangst 6y agoAnd what is the marginal benefit of going full pod vs everyone simply wearing a mask?
- 9HZZRfNlpR 6y agoMask is marginal as well with very weak scientific evidence yet people wear it and even have to.