3 ms·
It happened. But it's not still happening. Note that New York hasn't had the promised "second wave." Article: "New York City nervously braces" -> https://www.p
by briandear 6y ago
It happened. But it's not still happening. Note that New York hasn't had the promised "second wave."
Article: "New York City nervously braces" -> https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/27/new-york-city-another-spread-403379 https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/27/new-york-city-anoth...
No big second wave in Sweden either: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-sweden-secondwave/swedish-covid-19-response-chief-predicts-local-outbreaks-no-big-second-wave-idUSKBN25K1B2 https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-sweden...
Yet we did have a second wave in California. What's the difference? California locked down fast and tight while De Blasio was telling New Yorkers to visit Broadway. As late as March 12, De Blasio was hoping to keep subways and Broadway open. Santa Clara County locked down around March 16. Sweden never locked down at all. New York was late to the lockdown party and it seems that while it caused a steep curve, that curve probably led to a more rapid herd immunity. People seem to forget that "Flatten the Curve" doesn't change the area under the curve.
Most people here are going to scoff at this source, however, this article is pretty solid on data on lockdowns and deaths per capita: https://www.aier.org/article/a-closer-look-at-the-states-that-stayed-open/ https://www.aier.org/article/a-closer-look-at-the-states-tha... (TLDR: non-lockdown states are among the best in terms of deaths per capita, while the strictest lockdown states have been hit hardest.