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> This doesn't immediately result in fewer flights because air schedules are meticulously planned in order to maintain specific routes That's all well and goo
by asdfasgasdgasdg 6y ago
> This doesn't immediately result in fewer flights because air schedules are meticulously planned in order to maintain specific routes
That's all well and good, but in fact the pandemic did essentially immediately result in fewer flights. Flights started getting cancelled within days of lockdowns starting in NYC. If this is a second order effect, then everything is a second order effect. Reduction in travel demand is a second order effect of the pandemic. The pandemic is a second order effect of globalization. Globalization is a second order effect of trade efficiency. Trade efficiency is a second order effect of air travel. Etc. It's not a useful terminology.
- eganist 6y agoFlight cancellations that took place were ones that were required as a consequence of government actions or were able to be done because they didn't disrupt routing, e.g. those planes were not necessarily expected to be at their subsequent destinations. That's first-order. You can reference my prior post for the distinction between this and long-term re-working of tactical and strategic decisions (second-order) Not sure how else I can explain this to you mate. The original commenter and I seem to get it.
- asdfasgasdgasdg 6y ago> The original commenter and I seem to get it. Plenty of times, multiple people have had agreement on a belief that is ultimately incorrect. Before you crow, see how the air travel landscape looks in five years. I predict, assuming the pandemic is resolved, it will have fully recovered and passed the 2019 peak.