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The problem is that even if you assume these hydrogen station can be built for one route, that is still quite a huge investment that you need to make for each r
by nickik 6y ago
The problem is that even if you assume these hydrogen station can be built for one route, that is still quite a huge investment that you need to make for each route as these hydrogen stations are very expensive. That means you have to find enough costumers on one specific route that all buy into your truck in a very short time-frame.
Its basically a very large complex system with solar, hydrogen production, huge hydrogen storage and pumps with sufficient scale to fuel 10-100s of trucks a day. Where will Nikola get the expertise to build such a complex system fuel station system? A company that has basically 0 engineering credibility, is gone set up station like that because that is something that doesn't exist? Hydrogen is difficult enough to deal with for rocket companies, but Nikola is just gone manage all that.
To finance such a station you need lots of threw-put, and to have access electricity to fuel 10-100s of trucks every day seem unlikely to me. While access energy might exist on the grid in general, seems to me that enough incredibly cheap electricity right where you need it to fuel 100s of trucks a day is highly unlikely in the near or mid term future at least.
If Nikola really want to claim this system is cheaper overall, I would really like to see their numbers on how they get there. Sadly I suspect Nikola has never calculated those numbers with realistic expectation.
Energy density in batteries is rapidly increasing, even with current technology large parts of the trucking market can be addressed already. Some part of the longer running routes might just be divided into multi-hop routes. So you are really addressing a shrinking market segment and one that is shrinking because batteries are improving.
I see more problems then solutions.
- gruez 6y ago>To finance such a station you need lots of threw-put don't you mean throughput?