3 ms·
> pearl clutching with everything COVID related is quite concerning, moreso than the disease itself. At the high points of the peak in the US, COVID 19 was kil
by pasabagi 6y ago
> pearl clutching with everything COVID related is quite concerning, moreso than the disease itself.
At the high points of the peak in the US, COVID 19 was killing more people per week than cancer or heart disease in the US. If everybody was just going on with business as usual, there's no reason to believe that the curve would have been turned.
If you're in an at-risk group, COVID is really dangerous. The case fatality rate is around 3% in the US, and it's extremely contagious, so it's plausible to imagine a world where everybody got it.
I think with these numbers in mind, a little bit of 'pearl clutching' is warranted.
- chrisco255 6y agohttps://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm There was only ever a few weeks there that excess death count was above average (see above). We have been at or below average for several weeks now. When you factor that in with the fact that vast majority of Covid deaths (over 90%) had comorbidities, we can safely conclude this virus is not as deadly as it has been hyped up to be. Case fatality rate is nowhere near 3%. Most estimates have been 0.25% or lower. Vast majority of the population has natural immunity and remains asymptomatic even upon infection. EDIT REPLY: No average excess deaths is never zero, as you can see in the chart down the page listed above on the CDC site. We have been down in the range of a bad flu season for a couple months now. Why is excess death count important? Because it disentangles the people who died from Covid from the people who died with Covid. If a 90 year old dies with Covid, and that same person would have statistically likely died from any disease including pneumonia or the flu, it's worth noting. It has substantial implications for society. That's why excess death count is worth looking at.
- dragonwriter 6y ago> there was only ever a few weeks there that excess death count was above average (see above). What is this supposed to mean? Excess death count is the amount above the expected, so average excess deaths is 0. And every week from March 28 on has positive excess deaths, except the last week on the chart, which is unreliable becuase... > We have been at or below average for several weeks now. from the popup in your source when you highlight any datapoint on the chart: "Data in recent weeks are incomplete."