3 ms·

We have no idea what they're going to say in the courtroom, not even the people who read Carreyrou's book. Hell, we don't even know to what extent Covid is tra

We have no idea what they're going to say in the courtroom, not even the people who read Carreyrou's book. Hell, we don't even know to what extent Covid is transmitted via droplets vs aerosols. "Based on what we know right now" is highly appropriate preface for claims about an uncertain future. I wish more people would use that phrase. I, personally, have popcorn in hand.

filmgirlcw 6y ago
Thank you! And like you, I’m also here with the popcorn. #TeamDrama I have a $500 bet that Holmes won’t serve any jail time (not that she won’t be convicted and putting aside any plea deals), so I have a vested interest in whatever her defense is as working. But on a personal level, I think she’s a terrible person and I’m just excited to watch the case unfold.
- growlist 6y ago
  It's going to be interesting to see how the defence handle her apparently pretty rapid recovery to good mental health post-Theranos, i.e. new boyfriend, posting smiley selfies etc.
  - c22 6y ago
    Hmm, never thought of posting selfies as a sign of good mental health before...
perl4ever 6y ago
The point is a general epistemological one. What I was trying to say is that there is sometimes an implicit contradiction when people say "based on what we know right now". In a philosophical way, you could say that "based on what we know right now", the sun has always risen in the morning, but we do not know that it will rise tomorrow. But then, to plan as if it won't, is not really "based on what we know right now". Claiming something or other will be different about the sun tomorrow might, seem plausible to one person and absurd to another; that can be debated. But for it to suddenly vanish without a trace is not "based on what we know right now". Pretty much anything else is more likely. What's the meaning of saying "we have no idea" as if someone was predicting it? I am not predicting it.

filmgirlcw 6y ago

Thank you! And like you, I’m also here with the popcorn. #TeamDrama I have a $500 bet that Holmes won’t serve any jail time (not that she won’t be convicted and putting aside any plea deals), so I have a vested interest in whatever her defense is as working. But on a personal level, I think she’s a terrible person and I’m just excited to watch the case unfold.

growlist 6y ago
It's going to be interesting to see how the defence handle her apparently pretty rapid recovery to good mental health post-Theranos, i.e. new boyfriend, posting smiley selfies etc.
- c22 6y ago
  Hmm, never thought of posting selfies as a sign of good mental health before...

perl4ever 6y ago

The point is a general epistemological one. What I was trying to say is that there is sometimes an implicit contradiction when people say "based on what we know right now". In a philosophical way, you could say that "based on what we know right now", the sun has always risen in the morning, but we do not know that it will rise tomorrow. But then, to plan as if it won't, is not really "based on what we know right now". Claiming something or other will be different about the sun tomorrow might, seem plausible to one person and absurd to another; that can be debated. But for it to suddenly vanish without a trace is not "based on what we know right now". Pretty much anything else is more likely. What's the meaning of saying "we have no idea" as if someone was predicting it? I am not predicting it.