3 ms·
3,200 cases/day is a little more than the daily positive UK RT-PCR tests. But by the government's own admission and recent commentary about cycle counts, it's e
by thu2111 6y ago
3,200 cases/day is a little more than the daily positive UK RT-PCR tests. But by the government's own admission and recent commentary about cycle counts, it's entirely plausible and in fact likely that 100% of these are false positives. It's the only explanation you need to determine why there are no deaths, although there may well be other correct explanations too.
The problem is that the test's sensitivity has been amped up to such a huge level that labs are reporting positive for people who have virtually no virus in their blood, or actually no viable virus at all, and certainly are not infectious let alone at risk.
Fortunately the British government in the last few weeks finally understood that RT-PCR tests do in fact have false positives, contrary to what was being regularly claimed back in April. They changed their guidance on September 6th. There's an analysis of this by a scientist here:
https://lockdownsceptics.org/when-is-covid-19-not-covid-19/ https://lockdownsceptics.org/when-is-covid-19-not-covid-19/
A useful quote is this one:
The number of cycles is not actually specified in the publication. Instead each laboratory must determine their own. A beautiful French study demonstrated the relationship between the number of cycles and the chance that a sample will be from an infectious case. Above 30 cycles and the chances of a test being from an infectious case are only 50/50. Above 34 cycles they are all positive. Another laboratory may find a different cut off. Indeed, a Canadian study found no cases requiring more than 24 cycles were infectious.
To put it in perspective, COVID testing labs have routinely been reporting positive at 40 cycles.