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A variation on this theme: make people frame their comments as falsifiable predictions. This is what Philip Tetlock advocates with his Superforecasting concept
by klenwell 6y ago
A variation on this theme: make people frame their comments as falsifiable predictions. This is what Philip Tetlock advocates with his Superforecasting concept and sorta implemented here:
https://www.gjopen.com/ https://www.gjopen.com/
The hitch: making good falsifiable or verifiable predictions is tough and time-consuming. Evaluating and judging them requires even more moderation.
And let's face it: most online comments are not about advancing the public discourse. They're about getting a quick dopamine hit.
- afarrell 6y agoSometimes, it is about thinking-out-loud about an idea. That is to say, getting multiple dopamine hits as you type a long comment and imagine people on the internet being impressed by a comment you wouldn't be motivated enough to journal about.
- chishaku 6y agoThis is a really good point.
- phobosanomaly 6y agoThat also opens up the ability to weight comments from a given user based on their success in predicting political outcomes. If you have a high rate of success predicting outcomes, it's likely you have a good grasp on events in that broad category, and your comments are likely more valuable insights on-average.