5 ms·
Don't forget this one: Bet 9 (https://longbets.org/9/ https://longbets.org/9/) - A bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event
by kbaker 6y ago
Don't forget this one:
Bet 9 (https://longbets.org/9/ https://longbets.org/9/) - A bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event within a six month period starting no later than Dec 31 02020.
If it was truly an accidental lab release, it could be a winning bet...
- samatman 6y agoIf reality were in fact a gritty cyberpunk novel, instead of just strongly resembling one, a team of private investigators hired by friends of the Long Now would be the force which finally cracks this case wide open...
- p1mrx 6y agoThat seems implausible, with a whole $400 at stake.
- gorgoiler 6y agoI like this story idea a lot! In the story universe, The Longs keep a low profile by publishing the bets in dollars. In fact, an international cabal of power players have $400,000,000 riding on this one. The Longs don’t want to cause alarm.
- sassycassie 6y agome too!
- shadowprofile77 6y agoThe Chinese government would of course deny this for as long as it could in the face of almost any future evidence, but the idea is at least possible. (I'm referring to a genuine lab accident regarding a natural virus being covered up as an event at the market instead, not a conspiracy theory about a bioengineered intentional release)