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You seem to be sure that Lukashenko will fall, but didn't he suppress multiple protests during the last 10-20 years with violence and still he is in power..
by fileeditview 6y ago
You seem to be sure that Lukashenko will fall, but didn't he suppress multiple protests during the last 10-20 years with violence and still he is in power..
- smt88 6y agoTechnology also amplifies the power of dictatorships, so smaller groups will be able to fend off popular uprisings now than they could a few years ago.
- jcranmer 6y agoThe thing about autocracies is that they look incredibly stable until the crack appears in the right place, and then everything suddenly falls apart all at once. When Bouazizi set himself on fire, it merited a small sidebar with a sad note that nothing was likely to come of it... and the Tunisian dictator fled the country within 3 weeks. Romania's dictator Nicolae Ceaușescu probably sets the record for speed, going from unassailable to captured and on trial in just 3 days.
- skitout 6y agoFor Tunisia (or Egypt), the key element was the army stepping in against the dictator.
- AnimalMuppet 6y agoBut not Romania, the other example that jcranmer mentioned.
- jcranmer 6y agoThe army did switch sides literally overnight in Romania, which left Nicolae without any viable support.
- AnimalMuppet 6y agoOh. I stand corrected.