3 ms·
Your post seems more like you are hoping that Iowa is going to suffer some terrible epidemic of cases, rather than talking about the data. You are speaking from
by bleah1000 6y ago
Your post seems more like you are hoping that Iowa is going to suffer some terrible epidemic of cases, rather than talking about the data. You are speaking from the point of view of your parents, who are likely scared. For vulnerable people, they still really shouldn't be going out, and they have every right to be worried. But at some point, we have to say that the majority of the population that is very likely not going to be as negatively affected can be allowed to live their lives.
Looking at the number of cases in Iowa, they are slowly ticking up, but cases are a terrible way to determine if covid is getting to be a problem. You need to look at percentage testing positive, hospitalizations and deaths. And if Iowa is anything like California, Florida, and Texas, there will be a spike in cases among younger people, and a slow increase in hospitalizations. But it won't be as bad as everyone pretends it is, and in many cases, it won't help to start locking things down again or for the first time, you'll simply push the curve out. Nearly the same number of people will get sick, just over a longer time frame. In fact, that was the whole point of flattening the curve, it wasn't to stop covid, it was to push the cases out so that our healthcare system is not overwhelmed. The area under the curve would likely be similar to a non-flattened curve.
I don't see any evidence that Iowa will be overwhelmed, but perhaps you have better data that you can point to that shows everything going wrong.