This seems right about where I expected their real-world capabilities to be today based on their sensor setup and the state of ML for self-driving. i.e. not ve

This seems right about where I expected their real-world capabilities to be today based on their sensor setup and the state of ML for self-driving. i.e. not very good, and nowhere near the Elon hype train or timetable. The real question is how much of this can actually be fixed by software updates alone. Personally, I don't think they can even get to 99% reliability on these use cases, let alone the number of 9s required to be at least as good as the human drivers it's supposed to replace. My money is still solidly on Waymo being the frontrunner for years.