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There is excess death due to influenza every year. Right. And the flu deaths will be on top of the COVID deaths. The number of dead due to covid-19 is not so
by WalterGR 6y ago
There is excess death due to influenza every year.
Right. And the flu deaths will be on top of the COVID deaths.
The number of dead due to covid-19 is not some kind of crazy anomaly that's going to stick out in the statistics.
Yes it is.
I don't know who @FrankfurtZack is beyond how he describes himself: "armchair virologist. hobbyvirologe, hobbystaatsepidemiologe". He has one post on Medium and that's it.
Here are some information sources that are more trustworthy.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/08/12/us/covid-deaths-us.html https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/08/12/us/covid-deat...
https://www.statnews.com/2020/08/03/measuring-excess-mortality-gives-clearer-picture-pandemics-true-burden/ https://www.statnews.com/2020/08/03/measuring-excess-mortali... (Boston Globe)
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/07/15/tracking-covid-19-excess-deaths-across-countries https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/07/15/tracking...
The CDC link in particular is good because the first graph you come across when you scroll down shows deaths going back to 2017, so you can compare COVID excess deaths with H1N1 excess deaths.
- _-___________-_ 6y ago"going back to 2017" is a very short window. The European excess mortality data I've seen does show COVID as a fairly significant spike in a 5-year context, but even just "zooming out" to 10 years makes it fairly insignificant.
- WalterGR 6y agoOkay, but the above is US data. It’s a significant spike given the time window shown. Also, reputable link to the European data you refer to?