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This is just my general sense, as a very non-expert with more experience of doing than theory...but the benefit is someone knowing the theory AND being able to
by hogFeast 6y ago
This is just my general sense, as a very non-expert with more experience of doing than theory...but the benefit is someone knowing the theory AND being able to translate that into revenue.
I think most people view the hard part as doing the PHd, and so lots of people value that experience, and because they have that experience you have this endowment effect: wow, that PHd was hard, I must do very hard and complex things.
To give you an example: Man Group. They are a huge quant hedge fund, in fact they were one of the first big quant funds. Now, they even have their own program at Oxford University that they hire out of...have you heard of them? Most people haven't. Their performance is mostly terrible, and despite being decades ahead of everyone their returns were never very good (they did well at the start because they had a few exceptional employees, who then went elsewhere...David Harding was one). The issue isn't PHds, they have many of them, the issue is having that knowledge AND being able to convert it.
I think this is really hard to grasp because most people expect problems to yield instantly to ML but, in most cases, they don't and other people have done valuable work with non-ML stuff that should be built on but isn't because domain knowledge or common sense is often lacking.
A similar thing is people who come out of CS, and don't know how to program. They know a bit but they don't know how to use Git, they don't know how to write code others can read, etc.
- smabie 6y agoThe Man Group has had respectable returns, especially during Coronavirus. Nothing amazing, but certainly not terrible. Regardless, there's more to the picture: Sharpe ratio, vol, correlation to the market, etc
- hogFeast 6y agoThat isn't the case. First, I was talking about multi-decade, not how have they done in the last few hours. Second, their long-term returns haven't been good. They lagged the largest funds (largely because their strategy has mostly been naive trend-following). Third, you are correct that their marketing machine has sprung into action recently. But how much do you know about what trades they are making? If you were around pre-08, you may be familiar with the turn they have made recently (i.e. diving head first into liquidity premium trades with poor reasoning, no fundamental knowledge). And again, the key point was: they have had this institute for how long? Decade plus? Are they a leading quant fund? No. Are they in the top 10? No. Are they doing anything particularly inventive? See returns. No.