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That stuff, about 6% of deaths occur on the freeway versus 20% of miles are on the freeway. The majority of autopilot is gonna be in freeway or similar roads so
by shubb 6y ago
That stuff, about 6% of deaths occur on the freeway versus 20% of miles are on the freeway. The majority of autopilot is gonna be in freeway or similar roads so let's call that 10 deaths for every Tesla death.
Anecdotally tesla put a lot of effort into making a car with great crash protection, so if we are evaluating only the autopilot then comparing tesla's death rate to a 1990s fiat or a car people buy to drive badly like an impreza doesn't seem right.
With that said, leading causes of freeway accidents are, falling asleep, bad lane following, and drivers failing to realise the traffic ahead has stopped. These are all about human inability to stay focused. So we shouldn't assume that in a simplified environment like a freeway, autopilot is going to lose up humans.
- Jedd 6y ago> That stuff, about 6% of deaths occur on the freeway versus 20% of miles are on the freeway. The majority of autopilot is gonna be in freeway or similar roads so let's call that 10 deaths for every Tesla death. Raw numbers are 34 / 3b in non-Autopilot, and 6 / 3b in Autopilot - so that's 5.7:1 ratio. I'm not 100% clear on how you're arriving at 10:1 ? > Anecdotally tesla put a lot of effort into making a car with great crash protection, so if we are evaluating only the autopilot then comparing tesla's death rate to a 1990s fiat or a car people buy to drive badly like an impreza doesn't seem right. I guess we'd have to review numbers of 1990's fiats, and indeed every other car on the road, the crash safety profile, and compare -- but this seems onerous. The fact that the Tesla vehicles are sold as a whole package - autopilot engineered around capabilities of the car, including withstanding crash scenarios - could in good faith be compared with every other car (without analysing them all in detail) using vanilla statistics on crash events, yes?