3 ms·

Source for "1% failure rate"?

• cbmuser 6y ago
  Doesn't exist. If we had a 1% failure rate, we'd have a nuclear catastrophe every year since we have over 400 active reactors world-wide.
  • stjohnswarts 6y ago
    "on average"
• nl 6y ago
  I don't believe the 1% number is accurate, but it's a lot higher than people might believe. From 2016: our range of models suggests that there is presently a 50% chance that (i) a Fukushima event (or larger) occurs every 60–150 years, and (ii) that a Three Mile Island event (or larger) occurs every 10–20 years. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/risa.12587 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/risa.12587 Summary: https://mtec.ethz.ch/news/d-mtec-news/2016/07/a-rethink-of-nuclear-risk-assessment.html https://mtec.ethz.ch/news/d-mtec-news/2016/07/a-rethink-of-n...
  • spfzero 6y ago
    So, an event that kills zero people could happen every 10-20 years, and another event that kills zero people could happen every 60-150 years? That is certainly alarming.
    • nl 6y ago
      They are rating the financial costs (which are pretty significant).