Epidemic modeler here. Do you consider the cases who carry the disease but not registered? (usually asymptomatic/mild symptomatic). Do you account e.g. for the

Epidemic modeler here. Do you consider the cases who carry the disease but not registered? (usually asymptomatic/mild symptomatic). Do you account e.g. for the delay between getting infected and being infective? Epidemic modeling is hard, risk estimation is harder, and combining it properly requires a lot of care.