4 ms·

All the articles I’ve read on this use anecdotal evidence. I haven’t seen much in any peer reviewed sense. From a scientific sense, what we’re looking for is so

All the articles I’ve read on this use anecdotal evidence. I haven’t seen much in any peer reviewed sense. From a scientific sense, what we’re looking for is something like “Covid causes a 50% increase in the occurrence of asthma.” It can be a rough estimate. In fact, given the omission across the scientific world and given the vast amounts of data, my estimate is there are no or mild after effects of covid. 25-50% of people in certain areas have gotten covid. A comparison to baseline is required. Having covid one day and developing seizures the next does not determine causation, as your prior is baseline.

NationalPark 6y ago
There are no gold-standard longitudinal studies on the impact of COVID because it's only been around for a year or so. There is a substantial amount of preliminary research on so-called "long haulers" and on indicators left behind in asymptomatic patients such as heart and lung damage. I'm not sure what omissions you're talking about, or where you're looking for this stuff and not finding it. I recommend listening to the podcast This Week In Virology which is run by infectious disease experts (including some dual PhD MDs) and covers the bleeding edge of the research. A lot of people are out there doing their best to gather and synthesize the limited data we have right now.
- eanzenberg 6y ago
  So, the IFR was estimated back with the princess cruise to something like 0.5-0.8%. That’s pretty damn accurate for an article out in April? If there were serious effects of Covid we’d have heard about it with multiple articles from the science community. All there is now is conjecture, opinion and anecdotes.
  - notabee 6y ago
    Fatality is a binary measure for which early numbers are easy to get. You catch the illness and you either survive or don't, with some fatalities at a delay. (Diamond Princess did have some people that took months to perish afterwards) Other effects require long periods of observation, and more granular measures of degree of impact. That research is ongoing now, and you seem to be deliberately wanting to misunderstand the nature of the problem.

NationalPark 6y ago

There are no gold-standard longitudinal studies on the impact of COVID because it's only been around for a year or so. There is a substantial amount of preliminary research on so-called "long haulers" and on indicators left behind in asymptomatic patients such as heart and lung damage. I'm not sure what omissions you're talking about, or where you're looking for this stuff and not finding it. I recommend listening to the podcast This Week In Virology which is run by infectious disease experts (including some dual PhD MDs) and covers the bleeding edge of the research. A lot of people are out there doing their best to gather and synthesize the limited data we have right now.

eanzenberg 6y ago
So, the IFR was estimated back with the princess cruise to something like 0.5-0.8%. That’s pretty damn accurate for an article out in April? If there were serious effects of Covid we’d have heard about it with multiple articles from the science community. All there is now is conjecture, opinion and anecdotes.
- notabee 6y ago
  Fatality is a binary measure for which early numbers are easy to get. You catch the illness and you either survive or don't, with some fatalities at a delay. (Diamond Princess did have some people that took months to perish afterwards) Other effects require long periods of observation, and more granular measures of degree of impact. That research is ongoing now, and you seem to be deliberately wanting to misunderstand the nature of the problem.