Based on New York isn't that off by 5 or so? Around 1% die each year, in New York State around .17% of coronavirus (confirmed/probable), and more likely ~.2% f

Based on New York isn't that off by 5 or so? Around 1% die each year, in New York State around .17% of coronavirus (confirmed/probable), and more likely ~.2% from coronavirus (excess deaths). To double normal deaths, reaching 2% dead for the year, it would need to be 5X higher excess deaths. There is still a quarter of the year left, but it doesn't seem enough. I think it would be closer to doubling everyone's mortality risk only in the zero mitigation scenario.