3 ms·
> 90% chance we'll have AGI* in 50 years? I would bet money against that prediction if I could. You cannot make a bet on a statement of probability. It's unfal
by majewsky 6y ago
> 90% chance we'll have AGI* in 50 years? I would bet money against that prediction if I could.
You cannot make a bet on a statement of probability. It's unfalsifiable (unless, within the next 50 years, someone finds a way to take a random sample of the multiverse).
- Engineering-MD 6y agoWell you just bet against an Odds which you perceive would net you a positive outcome surely? That’s all that you do with any uncertain gambling