I agree, full AGI for 90% likelihood in 50 years is optimistic. However, a book rivalling human authors? I'd definitely assign higher than 90% likelihood for th

I agree, full AGI for 90% likelihood in 50 years is optimistic. However, a book rivalling human authors? I'd definitely assign higher than 90% likelihood for that. Gpt-x might not cut it, but there's sure to be a lot of work in that direction, and 50 years is a long time. I'd like to take that bet. I'd even speed up the timeline a bit, especially when it comes to the book. Let's say, if there's no completely AI generated (so no human editing) book on the new york times best seller list #1 for at least a duration of 2 weeks, before 2040, I'll be very surprised.