3 ms·
On the other hand, a world with rapid tech innovation is the only world where I'm alive in 50 years. So I'm probably best off betting on AGI existing 50 years f
by onionisafruit 6y ago
On the other hand, a world with rapid tech innovation is the only world where I'm alive in 50 years. So I'm probably best off betting on AGI existing 50 years from now. I think laws are such that my heirs don't have to make good on my wagers.
- JoshuaDavid 6y agoLaws are indeed such. It would be kind of cool if long-term bets were possible to do, but the value of winning or losing bets far in the future is so strongly impacted by your personal discount rate and likelihood of living to see the outcome that making any gain off of those kind of bets is impractical pretty much no matter how sure you are.
- Cyphase 6y agoNot your heirs per se, but your estate would have an obligation to make good.