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I don’t know if I’m missing something because I’m on mobile or have ads blocked but this article seems devoid of content. We keep going through this. COVID rat
by dopylitty 6y ago
I don’t know if I’m missing something because I’m on mobile or have ads blocked but this article seems devoid of content.
We keep going through this. COVID rates spike, people see death rates don’t immediately spike and make all sorts of claims about policy (we should open schools! In person dining!) then death rates do spike because they always lag tests by a month for a variety of reasons. In the U.S. there’s also the impact of the states (Texas, Florida, Georgia) that have chosen to stop reporting accurate data at all. Out of sight out of mind.
And don’t forget many of the (even young) people who aren’t dying are going through weeks or months of hell and may have debilitating symptoms for an indeterminate length of time.
The only sane policy is to shut everything nonessential down until every case can be thoroughly traced and testing capacity is such that anyone can get a test at any time for any reason. If the U.S. had done that in March this would be over already and going out in public wouldn’t be paying Russian roulette with your future.
- Barrin92 6y ago> then death rates do spike because they always lag tests by a month I don't think that is entirely accurate either. If you look at France for example[1] rates have steadily been climbing for six weeks again and yet there's not even a blip in deaths, and the corresponding rise in deaths in the first wave also did not trail infections by much, same in Spain where there doesn't even appear to be a lag[2]. Pretty much all countries I checked didn't lag deaths much at all. It may very well also be the case that we missed a ton of covid infections during the first wave. [1]https://covid19.who.int/region/euro/country/fr https://covid19.who.int/region/euro/country/fr [2]https://covid19.who.int/region/euro/country/es https://covid19.who.int/region/euro/country/es
- tonyedgecombe 6y agoSupply of tests was constrained at the start of the epidemic so you might be reading too much into that.